Prospect board, #1683 overall
Nikita Ishimnikov
Defence, 21.4 years old, Gornyak-UGMK (VHL), 6′3″ 194 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Nikita Ishimnikov is a 21-year-old defenceman with Gornyak-UGMK in the VHL, a Colorado Avalanche fifth-round pick, 155 overall in 2023. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 13 games, 0.23 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 194 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair1%
- Third-pair4%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer11%
How he got there
1His line
0.23 P/GP
2 G, 1 A in 13 games, VHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#155
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
24 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Gornyak-UGMK | VHL | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.23 |
| Last season | Gornyak-UGMK | VHL | 22 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0.27 |
| Last season | Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | KHL | 25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.08 |