Prospect board, #473 overall
Chase Cheslock
Defence, 21.9 years old, Univ. of St. Thomas (NCAA), 6′3″ 208 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
24%
Scouting report
Chase Cheslock is a 21-year-old defenceman with Univ. of St. Thomas in the NCAA, a New Jersey Devils fifth-round pick, 154 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 208 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair7%
- Third-pair24%
- Tweener39%
- AHLer (most likely)75%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 2 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+5%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.9
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#154
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
24 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Univ. of St. Thomas | NCAA | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Univ. of St. Thomas | NCAA | 38 | 1 | 23 | 24 | 0.63 |