GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #395 overall

Filip Eriksson

Centre, 21.9 years old, Luleå HF (SHL), 5′11″ 179 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

18%

AHLer

Scouting report

Filip Eriksson is a 21-year-old centre with Luleå HF in the SHL, a Montreal Canadiens sixth-round pick, 165 overall in 2023. He has 3 goals and 2 assists in 10 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 23 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 179 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 18% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 8% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner8%
  3. Middle-sixer14%
  4. Fourth-liner18%
  5. Tweener38%
  6. AHLer (most likely)52%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    3 G, 2 A in 10 games, SHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    23 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +13%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #165

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    51 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonLuleå HFSHL103250.50
Last seasonLuleå HFSHL521514290.56