Prospect board, #881 overall
Matthew Mayich
Defence, 21.7 years old, Clarkson Univ. (NCAA), 6′2″ 187 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
14%
Scouting report
Matthew Mayich is a 21-year-old defenceman with Clarkson Univ. in the NCAA, a St Louis Blues sixth-round pick, 170 overall in 2023. He has 7 goals and 8 assists in 34 games, 0.44 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 187 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair1%
- Second-pair5%
- Third-pair14%
- Tweener19%
- AHLer42%
How he got there
1His line
0.44 P/GP
7 G, 8 A in 34 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+15%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#170
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
25 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Clarkson Univ. | NCAA | 34 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 0.44 |