GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #938 overall

Ty Henricks

Left wing, 21.2 years old, Western Michigan Univ. (NCAA), 6′4″ 209 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

11%

Long shot

Scouting report

Ty Henricks is a 21-year-old left wing with Western Michigan Univ. in the NCAA, a New York Rangers sixth-round pick, 183 overall in 2023. He has 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 209 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner11%
  5. Tweener19%
  6. AHLer48%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.75 P/GP

    2 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −3%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #183

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    31 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonWestern Michigan Univ.NCAA42130.75
Last seasonWestern Michigan Univ.NCAA39916250.64