GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #418 overall

Dylan Roobroeck

Centre, 22.1 years old, Hartford Wolf Pack (AHL), 6′8″ 233 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Dylan Roobroeck is a 22-year-old centre with Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL, a New York Rangers sixth-round pick, 178 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 7 games, 0.14 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.69 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-8 and 233 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer7%
  4. Fourth-liner24%
  5. Tweener40%
  6. AHLer (most likely)93%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.14 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 7 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +28%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #178

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHartford Wolf PackAHL70110.14
Last seasonHartford Wolf PackAHL721115260.36