Prospect board, #1196 overall
Warren Clark
Defence, 22.0 years old, Northern Michigan Univ. (NCAA), 6′3″ 191 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
12%
Scouting report
Warren Clark is a 22-year-old defenceman with Northern Michigan Univ. in the NCAA, a Tampa Bay Lightning sixth-round pick, 179 overall in 2023. He has 2 goals and 4 assists in 33 games, 0.18 a game, which works out to about 3 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 191 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 12% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair1%
- Third-pair12%
- Tweener13%
- AHLer26%
How he got there
1His line
0.18 P/GP
2 G, 4 A in 33 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
3 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+15%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#179
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Northern Michigan Univ. | NCAA | 33 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0.18 |