GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1716 overall

Zeb Forsfjall

Centre, 21.7 years old, Skellefteå AIK (SHL), 5′9″ 167 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Zeb Forsfjall is a 21-year-old centre with Skellefteå AIK in the SHL, a Seattle Kraken sixth-round pick, 180 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 167 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener9%
  6. AHLer14%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.10 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 10 games, SHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +4%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #180

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    36 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSkellefteå AIKSHL101010.10
Last seasonSkellefteå AIKSHL493470.14