GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1755 overall

Michael Emerson

Right wing, 22.7 years old, Merrimack College (NCAA), 6′1″ 192 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

3%

Long shot

Scouting report

Michael Emerson is a 22-year-old right wing with Merrimack College in the NCAA, a Carolina Hurricanes sixth-round pick, 190 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 2 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 22.7 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 192 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner3%
  5. Tweener5%
  6. AHLer17%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 2 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +15%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    22.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #190

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    32 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMerrimack CollegeNCAA20000.00
Last seasonMerrimack CollegeNCAA374590.24