Prospect board, #371 overall
Oiva Keskinen
Centre, 22.6 years old, Cleveland Monsters (AHL), 6′0″ 180 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
20%
Scouting report
Oiva Keskinen is a 22-year-old centre with Cleveland Monsters in the AHL, a Columbus Blue Jackets seventh-round pick, 194 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 3 assists in 6 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 180 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 20% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 11% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner11%
- Middle-sixer12%
- Fourth-liner20%
- Tweener42%
- AHLer50%
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
1 G, 3 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
21 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−13%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#194
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
49 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Cleveland Monsters | AHL | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0.67 |
| Last season | Tappara | LIIGA | 49 | 20 | 17 | 37 | 0.76 |