GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #796 overall

Owen Beckner

Centre, 21.6 years old, Colorado College (NCAA), 6′2″ 193 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

14%

AHLer

Scouting report

Owen Beckner is a 21-year-old centre with Colorado College in the NCAA, a Ottawa Senators seventh-round pick, 204 overall in 2023. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 193 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer4%
  4. Fourth-liner14%
  5. Tweener21%
  6. AHLer (most likely)57%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.25 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +5%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #204

    2023, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonColorado CollegeNCAA40110.25
Last seasonColorado CollegeNCAA30815230.77