Prospect board, #1300 overall
Ethan Hay
Centre, 21.7 years old, Miami Univ. (Ohio) (NCAA), 6′1″ 193 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
9%
Scouting report
Ethan Hay is a 21-year-old centre with Miami Univ. (Ohio) in the NCAA, a Tampa Bay Lightning seventh-round pick, 211 overall in 2023. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 193 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 9% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer2%
- Fourth-liner9%
- Tweener12%
- AHLer25%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+15%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#211
2023, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Miami Univ. (Ohio) | NCAA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Miami Univ. (Ohio) | NCAA | 35 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 0.46 |