Prospect board, #412 overall
Finn Harding
Defence, 21.5 years old, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins (AHL), 6′2″ 212 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
26%
Scouting report
Finn Harding is a 21-year-old defenceman with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in the AHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins seventh-round pick, 223 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.30 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 212 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 26% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 21 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair3%
- Third-pair26%
- Tweener46%
- AHLer (most likely)89%
How he got there
1His line
0.20 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−24%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#223
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
21 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 |
| Last season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 54 | 4 | 18 | 22 | 0.41 |