Tyler Thorpe

Right wing, 21.1 years old, Laval Rocket (AHL), 6′5″ 210 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

14%

AHLer

Scouting report

Tyler Thorpe is a 21-year-old right wing with Laval Rocket in the AHL, a Montreal Canadiens fifth-round pick, 130 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 2 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.47 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.

At 21.1 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 210 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 14% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer2%
Fourth-liner14%
Tweener36%
AHLer (most likely)91%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 2 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−27%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#130
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Laval Rocket	AHL	2	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Laval Rocket	AHL	68	4	12	16	0.24