GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #719 overall

Julius Sumpf

Centre, 21.7 years old, Providence College (NCAA), 6′1″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

16%

AHLer

Scouting report

Julius Sumpf is a 21-year-old centre with Providence College in the NCAA, a Chicago Blackhawks fourth-round pick, 98 overall in 2025. He has 0 goals and 6 assists in 3 games, 2.00 a game, which works out to about 31 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 182 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer5%
  4. Fourth-liner16%
  5. Tweener27%
  6. AHLer (most likely)51%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    2.00 P/GP

    0 G, 6 A in 3 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    31 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −3%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #98

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonProvidence CollegeNCAA30662.00
Last seasonProvidence CollegeNCAA36417210.58