Prospect board, #253 overall
Matyas Melovsky
Centre, 22.3 years old, Utica Comets (AHL), 6′1″ 190 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
37%
Scouting report
Matyas Melovsky is a 22-year-old centre with Utica Comets in the AHL, a New Jersey Devils sixth-round pick, 171 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 4 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 24 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 37% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 34 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer14%
- Fourth-liner37%
- Tweener48%
- AHLer (most likely)95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.75 P/GP
0 G, 3 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
24 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+23%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#171
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
35 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Utica Comets | AHL | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0.75 |
| Last season | Utica Comets | AHL | 55 | 10 | 16 | 26 | 0.47 |