Prospect board, #344 overall
Ryder Ritchie
Right wing, 20.1 years old, Boston Univ. (NCAA), 6′0″ 175 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
34%
Scouting report
Ryder Ritchie is a 20-year-old right wing with Boston Univ. in the NCAA, a Minnesota Wild second-round pick, 45 overall in 2024. He has 2 goals and 0 assists in 3 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 6 other NHL draft picks on his roster. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 175 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 34% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 33 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner2%
- Middle-sixer11%
- Fourth-liner34%
- Tweener45%
- AHLer (most likely)67%
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
2 G, 0 A in 3 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−9%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#45
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Boston Univ. | NCAA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 |
| Last season | Boston Univ. | NCAA | 36 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 0.47 |