Prospect board, #189 overall
Leon Muggli
Defence, 20.2 years old, Hershey Bears (AHL), 6′0″ 165 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
54%
Scouting report
Leon Muggli is a 20-year-old defenceman with Hershey Bears in the AHL, a Washington Capitals second-round pick, 52 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 20.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 165 pounds. His most likely outcome is a third-pair defenceman, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 54% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 6% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 22 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair6%
- Second-pair8%
- Third-pair (most likely)54%
- Tweener67%
- AHLer83%
How he got there
1His line
0.25 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#52
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
22 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 |
| Last season | Hershey Bears | AHL | 27 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0.26 |