GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #392 overall

Miguel Marques

Right wing, 20.5 years old, Northeastern Univ. (NCAA), 5′11″ 193 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Miguel Marques is a 20-year-old right wing with Northeastern Univ. in the NCAA, a Nashville Predators third-round pick, 87 overall in 2024. He has 2 goals and 3 assists in 3 games, 1.67 a game, which works out to about 26 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 193 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner3%
  3. Middle-sixer10%
  4. Fourth-liner24%
  5. Tweener43%
  6. AHLer (most likely)77%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.67 P/GP

    2 G, 3 A in 3 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    26 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +10%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #87

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    36 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonNortheastern Univ.NCAA32351.67
Last seasonUniv. of MaineNCAA331013230.70