GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #41 overall

Cole Beaudoin

Centre, 20.4 years old, Hartford Wolf Pack (AHL), 6′2″ 212 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

70%

Middle-sixer

Scouting report

Cole Beaudoin is a 20-year-old centre with Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL, a New York Rangers first-round pick, 24 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 4 games, 1.50 a game, which works out to about 48 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.1 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.69 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

At 20.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 212 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a middle-sixer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 70% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 22% of a first-line career and 10% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 49 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite10%
  2. First-liner22%
  3. Middle-sixer (most likely)53%
  4. Fourth-liner70%
  5. Tweener84%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.50 P/GP

    1 G, 5 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    48 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +32%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #24

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    49 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHartford Wolf PackAHL41561.50
Last seasonBarrie ColtsOHL543356891.65