Prospect board, #543 overall
Aron Kiviharju
Defence, 20.6 years old, HIFK (LIIGA), 5′9″ 170 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
21%
Scouting report
Aron Kiviharju is a 20-year-old defenceman with HIFK in the LIIGA, a Minnesota Wild fourth-round pick, 122 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 4 assists in 7 games, 0.57 a game, which works out to about 21 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-9 and 170 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair5%
- Third-pair21%
- Tweener36%
- AHLer (most likely)67%
How he got there
1His line
0.57 P/GP
0 G, 4 A in 7 games, LIIGA
2League exchange rate
21 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#122
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
24 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | HIFK | LIIGA | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.57 |
| Last season | HIFK | LIIGA | 48 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 0.35 |