GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #588 overall

Ollie Josephson

Centre, 20.1 years old, Univ. of North Dakota (NCAA), 6′0″ 193 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

21%

AHLer

Scouting report

Ollie Josephson is a 20-year-old centre with Univ. of North Dakota in the NCAA, a Seattle Kraken fourth-round pick, 105 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 193 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner1%
  3. Middle-sixer8%
  4. Fourth-liner21%
  5. Tweener33%
  6. AHLer (most likely)52%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +1%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #105

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    34 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of North DakotaNCAA40000.00
Last seasonUniv. of North DakotaNCAA38614200.53