GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1467 overall

Adam Jecho

Centre, 20.5 years old, Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL), 6′5″ 203 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Adam Jecho is a 20-year-old centre with Edmonton Oil Kings in the WHL, a St Louis Blues third-round pick, 95 overall in 2024. He has 10 goals and 26 assists in 47 games, 0.77 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. The five best scorers around him average 1.25 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. At 20.5 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 203 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner5%
  5. Tweener8%
  6. AHLer25%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.77 P/GP

    10 G, 26 A in 47 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    9 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −14%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #95

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    38 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonEdmonton Oil KingsWHL471026360.77