Prospect board, #13 overall
Michael Hage
Centre, 20.4 years old, Univ. of Michigan (NCAA), 6′1″ 187 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
90%
Scouting report
Michael Hage is a 20-year-old centre with Univ. of Michigan in the NCAA, a Montreal Canadiens first-round pick, 21 overall in 2024. He has 3 goals and 11 assists in 6 games, 2.33 a game, which works out to about 36 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 187 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a middle-sixer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 90% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 34% of a first-line career and 28% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 56 points a season at his best. Moving up a tier would take scoring well above his league's top-line rate.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite28%
- First-liner34%
- Middle-sixer (most likely)79%
- Fourth-liner90%
- Tweener95%+
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
2.33 P/GP
3 G, 11 A in 6 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
36 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−1%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#21
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
56 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Univ. of Michigan | NCAA | 6 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 2.33 |
| Last season | Univ. of Michigan | NCAA | 39 | 13 | 39 | 52 | 1.33 |