Prospect board, #944 overall
Alexis Bernier
Defence, 20.2 years old, Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL), 6′1″ 205 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
13%
Scouting report
Alexis Bernier is a 20-year-old defenceman with Coachella Valley Firebirds in the AHL, a Seattle Kraken third-round pick, 73 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.26 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
At 20.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 205 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair3%
- Second-pair4%
- Third-pair13%
- Tweener14%
- AHLer34%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−19%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#73
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Coachella Valley Firebirds | AHL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Chicoutimi Saguenéens | QMJHL | 21 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 0.57 |