Harrison Brunicke

Scouting report

Harrison Brunicke is a 20-year-old defenceman with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in the AHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins second-round pick, 44 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.30 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.

At 20.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 204 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a third-pair defenceman, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 53% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 8% of a top-pair career. If he makes it, figure about 25 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.