Prospect board, #135 overall
EJ Emery
Defence, 20.5 years old, Univ. of North Dakota (NCAA), 6′4″ 183 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
57%
Scouting report
EJ Emery is a 20-year-old defenceman with Univ. of North Dakota in the NCAA, a New York Rangers first-round pick, 30 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 183 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a third-pair defenceman, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 57% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 23 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair2%
- Second-pair17%
- Third-pair (most likely)57%
- Tweener83%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+10%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#30
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
23 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Univ. of North Dakota | NCAA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Univ. of North Dakota | NCAA | 38 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 0.34 |