Prospect board, #287 overall
Herman Traff
Right wing, 20.7 years old, San Diego Gulls (AHL), 6′3″ 215 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
30%
Scouting report
Herman Traff is a 20-year-old right wing with San Diego Gulls in the AHL, a Anaheim Ducks third-round pick, 91 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 20.7 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 215 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 30% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 39 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner5%
- Middle-sixer15%
- Fourth-liner30%
- Tweener49%
- AHLer (most likely)71%
How he got there
1His line
0.20 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+9%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#91
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | San Diego Gulls | AHL | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 |
| Last season | San Diego Gulls | AHL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | IK Oskarshamn | ALLSVENSKAN | 51 | 23 | 18 | 41 | 0.80 |