GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #197 overall

Teddy Stiga

Centre, 20.4 years old, Boston College (NCAA), 5′11″ 193 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

42%

Tweener

Scouting report

Teddy Stiga is a 20-year-old centre with Boston College in the NCAA, a Nashville Predators second-round pick, 55 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 3 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 4 other NHL draft picks on his roster.

It barely moves his projection. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 193 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 42% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 36 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner4%
  3. Middle-sixer18%
  4. Fourth-liner42%
  5. Tweener (most likely)62%
  6. AHLer81%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.33 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 3 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #55

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    36 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBoston CollegeNCAA31010.33
Last seasonBoston CollegeNCAA31615210.68