Prospect board, #94 overall
Tanner Howe
Left wing, 20.8 years old, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins (AHL), 5′11″ 191 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
57%
Scouting report
Tanner Howe is a 20-year-old left wing with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in the AHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins second-round pick, 46 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.30 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.
At 20.8 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 191 pounds. His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 57% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 15% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 42 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite4%
- First-liner15%
- Middle-sixer29%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)57%
- Tweener73%
- AHLer88%
How he got there
1His line
0.33 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−23%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.8
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#46
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins | AHL | 27 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 0.59 |