GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1383 overall

Kasper Pikkarainen

Right wing, 20.1 years old, TPS (LIIGA), 6′3″ 194 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Kasper Pikkarainen is a 20-year-old right wing with TPS in the LIIGA, a New Jersey Devils third-round pick, 85 overall in 2024. He has 2 goals and 0 assists in 12 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 20.1 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 194 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner5%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer27%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.17 P/GP

    2 G, 0 A in 12 games, LIIGA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    6 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −5%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #85

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    37 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonTPSLIIGA122020.17
Last seasonTPSLIIGA452460.13
Last seasonTPS U20U20 SM-SARJA12022.00