Prospect board, #1111 overall
Aatos Koivu
Centre, 20.2 years old, TPS (LIIGA), 6′1″ 170 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
7%
Scouting report
Aatos Koivu is a 20-year-old centre with TPS in the LIIGA, a Montreal Canadiens third-round pick, 70 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 13 games, 0.15 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 170 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner7%
- Tweener19%
- AHLer30%
How he got there
1His line
0.15 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 13 games, LIIGA
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−5%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#70
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | TPS | LIIGA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.15 |
| Last season | TPS | LIIGA | 47 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 0.19 |
| Last season | TPS U20 | U20 SM-SARJA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |