GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #111 overall

Anton Silaev

Defence, 20.4 years old, Utica Comets (AHL), 6′7″ 211 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

70%

Third-pair

Scouting report

Anton Silaev is a 20-year-old defenceman with Utica Comets in the AHL, a New Jersey Devils first-round pick, 10 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.0 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.

At 20.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-7 and 211 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a third-pair defenceman, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 70% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 5% of a top-pair career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 22 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. Top-pair5%
  3. Second-pair11%
  4. Third-pair (most likely)70%
  5. Tweener92%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +23%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #10

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    22 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUtica CometsAHL40000.00
Last seasonTorpedo Nizhny NovgorodKHL611230.05