Prospect board, #225 overall
Logan Sawyer
Centre, 20.4 years old, Providence College (NCAA), 6′1″ 173 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
32%
Scouting report
Logan Sawyer is a 20-year-old centre with Providence College in the NCAA, a Montreal Canadiens third-round pick, 78 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 4 assists in 3 games, 1.67 a game, which works out to about 26 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 173 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 32% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 9% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 44 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner9%
- Middle-sixer20%
- Fourth-liner32%
- Tweener48%
- AHLer (most likely)78%
How he got there
1His line
1.67 P/GP
1 G, 4 A in 3 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
26 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#78
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
45 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Providence College | NCAA | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1.67 |
| Last season | Providence College | NCAA | 35 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 0.80 |