Prospect board, #876 overall
Lucas Ellinas
Left wing, 20.5 years old, Belleville Senators (AHL), 6′1″ 214 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
15%
Scouting report
Lucas Ellinas is a 20-year-old left wing with Belleville Senators in the AHL, a Ottawa Senators fourth-round pick, 104 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 20.5 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 214 pounds. His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 15% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner15%
- Tweener20%
- AHLer40%
How he got there
1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#104
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Belleville Senators | AHL | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Last season | Kitchener Rangers | OHL | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.50 |