Prospect board, #968 overall
Blake Montgomery
Left wing, 21.4 years old, Univ. of Wisconsin (NCAA), 6′4″ 194 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
13%
Scouting report
Blake Montgomery is a 21-year-old left wing with Univ. of Wisconsin in the NCAA, a Ottawa Senators fourth-round pick, 117 overall in 2024. He has 9 goals and 8 assists in 38 games, 0.45 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 194 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 13% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer3%
- Fourth-liner13%
- Tweener18%
- AHLer42%
How he got there
1His line
0.45 P/GP
9 G, 8 A in 38 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
7 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#117
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Belleville Senators | AHL | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 |
| Last season | Univ. of Wisconsin | NCAA | 38 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 0.45 |