GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1093 overall

Tomas Mrsic

Centre, 20.6 years old, Colorado College (NCAA), 5′11″ 170 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

Long shot

Scouting report

Tomas Mrsic is a 20-year-old centre with Colorado College in the NCAA, a St Louis Blues fourth-round pick, 113 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 170 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner10%
  5. Tweener13%
  6. AHLer37%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.25 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +5%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #113

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonColorado CollegeNCAA40110.25
Last seasonColorado CollegeNCAA3655100.28