GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1880 overall

Eerik Wallenius

Defence, 20.7 years old, HPK (LIIGA), 6′4″ 217 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Eerik Wallenius is a 20-year-old defenceman with HPK in the LIIGA, a Ottawa Senators fifth-round pick, 136 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 217 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair2%
  5. Tweener3%
  6. AHLer14%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.10 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 10 games, LIIGA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +13%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #136

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    27 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonHPKLIIGA101010.10
Last seasonMoncton WildcatsQMJHL56210120.21