Prospect board, #871 overall
Joel Svensson
Centre, 21.4 years old, IK Oskarshamn (ALLSVENSKAN), 6′1″ 185 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
10%
Scouting report
Joel Svensson is a 21-year-old centre with IK Oskarshamn in the ALLSVENSKAN, a Chicago Blackhawks fifth-round pick, 138 overall in 2024. He has 12 goals and 9 assists in 13 games, 1.62 a game, which works out to about 38 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.39 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 185 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner10%
- Tweener18%
- AHLer36%
How he got there
1His line
1.62 P/GP
12 G, 9 A in 13 games, ALLSVENSKAN
2League exchange rate
38 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+12%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#138
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
46 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | IK Oskarshamn | ALLSVENSKAN | 13 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 1.62 |
| Last season | IK Oskarshamn | ALLSVENSKAN | 51 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 0.39 |