Clarke Caswell

Left wing, 20.6 years old, Univ. of Denver (NCAA), 5′11″ 170 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

21%

AHLer

Scouting report

Clarke Caswell is a 20-year-old left wing with Univ. of Denver in the NCAA, a Seattle Kraken fifth-round pick, 141 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 4 assists in 4 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 170 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner2%
Middle-sixer10%
Fourth-liner21%
Tweener33%
AHLer (most likely)77%

How he got there

1His line
1.00 P/GP
0 G, 4 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
20.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#141
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
37 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Univ. of Denver	NCAA	4	0	4	4	1.00
Last season	Univ. of Denver	NCAA	43	8	26	34	0.79