Prospect board, #1629 overall
Ty Henry
Defence, 20.2 years old, Erie Otters (OHL), 6′2″ 197 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
5%
Scouting report
Ty Henry is a 20-year-old defenceman with Erie Otters in the OHL, a Chicago Blackhawks sixth-round pick, 163 overall in 2024. He has 2 goals and 2 assists in 10 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.6 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.77 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. At 20.2 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 197 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair2%
- Third-pair5%
- Tweener8%
- AHLer11%
How he got there
1His line
0.40 P/GP
2 G, 2 A in 10 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+28%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#163
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
27 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Erie Otters | OHL | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.40 |