GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1981 overall

Rico Gredig

Left wing, 21.6 years old, EV Zug (NL), 6′1″ 189 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Rico Gredig is a 21-year-old left wing with EV Zug in the NL, a New York Rangers sixth-round pick, 191 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 3 assists in 8 games, 0.38 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.15 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 189 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener5%
  6. AHLer9%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.38 P/GP

    0 G, 3 A in 8 games, NL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    14 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +5%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #191

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    39 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonEV ZugNL80330.38
Last seasonHC DavosNL473470.15