GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #456 overall

Austin Burnevik

Right wing, 21.7 years old, Univ. of Minnesota (NCAA), 6′4″ 195 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

20%

AHLer

Scouting report

Austin Burnevik is a 21-year-old right wing with Univ. of Minnesota in the NCAA, a Anaheim Ducks sixth-round pick, 182 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 4 games, 0.25 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 195 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 20% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner3%
  3. Middle-sixer9%
  4. Fourth-liner20%
  5. Tweener43%
  6. AHLer (most likely)71%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.25 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −1%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    21.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #182

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    37 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonUniv. of MinnesotaNCAA40110.25
Last seasonSt. Cloud State Univ.NCAA362018381.06