GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1298 overall

Ben Merrill

Centre, 20.9 years old, Boston Univ. (NCAA), 6′3″ 190 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

7%

Long shot

Scouting report

Ben Merrill is a 20-year-old centre with Boston Univ. in the NCAA, a Montreal Canadiens sixth-round pick, 166 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. There are 6 other NHL draft picks on his roster. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-3 and 190 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 7% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner7%
  5. Tweener11%
  6. AHLer26%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.00 P/GP

    0 G, 0 A in 4 games, NCAA

  2. 2League exchange rate

    0 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −10%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    20.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #166

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    37 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonBoston Univ.NCAA40000.00
Last seasonBoston Univ.NCAA3377140.42