Prospect board, #511 overall
Kieron Walton
Centre, 20.4 years old, Peterborough Petes (OHL), 6′6″ 211 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
19%
Scouting report
Kieron Walton is a 20-year-old centre with Peterborough Petes in the OHL, a Winnipeg Jets sixth-round pick, 187 overall in 2024. He has 40 goals and 48 assists in 62 games, 1.42 a game, which works out to about 17 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. At 20.4 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-6 and 211 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 5% of a first-line career. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner5%
- Middle-sixer9%
- Fourth-liner19%
- Tweener31%
- AHLer (most likely)69%
How he got there
1His line
1.42 P/GP
40 G, 48 A in 62 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
17 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+4%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#187
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
41 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Peterborough Petes | OHL | 62 | 40 | 48 | 88 | 1.42 |