Hunter St. Martin

Left wing, 21.3 years old, Charlotte Checkers (AHL), 6′1″ 174 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

22%

AHLer

Scouting report

Hunter St. Martin is a 21-year-old left wing with Charlotte Checkers in the AHL, a Florida Panthers sixth-round pick, 193 overall in 2024. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 6 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.55 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

At 21.3 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 174 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 22% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner<1%
Middle-sixer4%
Fourth-liner22%
Tweener27%
AHLer (most likely)82%

How he got there

1His line
0.17 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+27%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#193
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Charlotte Checkers	AHL	6	1	0	1	0.17
Last season	Charlotte Checkers	AHL	46	5	8	13	0.28