GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1885 overall

Rasmus Bergqvist

Defence, 21.3 years old, Skellefteå AIK (SHL), 6′2″ 181 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

3%

Long shot

Scouting report

Rasmus Bergqvist is a 21-year-old defenceman with Skellefteå AIK in the SHL, a Montreal Canadiens seventh-round pick, 224 overall in 2024. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.10 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 181 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair3%
  5. Tweener6%
  6. AHLer7%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.10 P/GP

    0 G, 1 A in 10 games, SHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +4%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    21.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #224

    2024, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    22 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSkellefteå AIKSHL100110.10
Last seasonSkellefteå AIKSHL400440.10
Last seasonÖstersunds IKALLSVENSKAN40000.00