Prospect board, #237 overall
Matvei Korotky
Centre, 20.7 years old, SKA St. Petersburg (KHL), 6′2″ 198 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
37%
Scouting report
Matvei Korotky is a 20-year-old centre with SKA St. Petersburg in the KHL, a St Louis Blues seventh-round pick, 211 overall in 2024. He has 5 goals and 6 assists in 15 games, 0.73 a game, which works out to about 45 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 198 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 37% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 14% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 40 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner14%
- Middle-sixer14%
- Fourth-liner37%
- Tweener46%
- AHLer (most likely)61%
How he got there
1His line
0.73 P/GP
5 G, 6 A in 15 games, KHL
2League exchange rate
45 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
20.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#211
2024, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | SKA St. Petersburg | KHL | 14 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 0.71 |
| This season | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | VHL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.00 |
| Last season | SKA St. Petersburg | KHL | 43 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 0.63 |