GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #72 overall

Bill Zonnon

Right wing, 19.9 years old, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins (AHL), 6′2″ 195 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

57%

Fourth-liner

Scouting report

Bill Zonnon is a 19-year-old right wing with Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins in the AHL, a Pittsburgh Penguins first-round pick, 22 overall in 2025. He has 3 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.83 a game, which works out to about 27 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.2 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.30 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.

At 19.9 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 195 pounds. His most likely outcome is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 57% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 19% of a first-line career and 9% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 48 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite9%
  2. First-liner19%
  3. Middle-sixer40%
  4. Fourth-liner (most likely)57%
  5. Tweener72%
  6. AHLer95%+

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.83 P/GP

    3 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    27 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −19%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    #22

    2025, read alongside his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    49 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHL63250.83
Last seasonBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL351432461.31