Prospect board, #254 overall
Adam Benak
Centre, 19.4 years old, Western Michigan Univ. (NCAA), 5′7″ 164 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
28%
Scouting report
Adam Benak is a 19-year-old centre with Western Michigan Univ. in the NCAA, a Minnesota Wild fourth-round pick, 102 overall in 2025. He has 2 goals and 5 assists in 4 games, 1.75 a game, which works out to about 27 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 19.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-7 and 164 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 28% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 9% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 48 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age and draft slot like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite2%
- First-liner9%
- Middle-sixer22%
- Fourth-liner28%
- Tweener40%
- AHLer (most likely)69%
How he got there
1His line
1.75 P/GP
2 G, 5 A in 4 games, NCAA
2League exchange rate
27 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
#102
2025, read alongside his numbers
6If he makes it
48 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Western Michigan Univ. | NCAA | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1.75 |
| Last season | Brantford Bulldogs | OHL | 48 | 28 | 49 | 77 | 1.60 |